Personally, I don't believe that the outcome of ANY of the Trump trials would significantly alter the 2024 voting calculus, even if he were convicted in all of them. It's mostly all just talk for pollsters.

Even people who claim that convictions "might" change their votes away from Trump would, when push comes to shove, most likely then claim they were waiting for all appeals to be exhausted, which of course would take years.

Expecting the trials to have any significant impact is just a fantasy.