Should Biden drop out based on his debate performance? I don't know. Answering that sensibly requires two things that are not currently publicly known:
- The actual state of Biden's health, with an informed prognosis.
- If he's fit (see above, I don't know), the political landscape, based on highly granular polling data and informed analysis.
I'm neither an MD nor a political analyst, and I've neither examined Biden nor have access to the kinds of political data that campaigns use.
My opinion is that Biden should do whatever maximizes the chances that Trump is kept out of the White House, because I *do* know quite a bit about about Trump and his plans for that office. He is a fascist monster, who has promised "retribution" and has a track record that amply proves where he stands. This is not a close call.
So I hope, and if I were the praying kind, pray that the Biden campaign is looking at these questions closely and frankly, and makes an informed decision quickly enough to maximize the chances that Trump is defeated. I wish I had the data and analytical capability that they have access to, but I realize I don't. That's frustrating, but it's also reality.
@mattblaze Seems like someone made a miscalculation on the first debate on those variables 😢 I doubt anyone would say "I'll vote for the fascist wanna-be-dictator and convicted criminal" because of the debate, BUT you might have people who decide to sit it out and not vote (which may just be a vote for the fascist wanna-be-dictator)
@ai6yr Maybe. I don't know. Predicting the impact of that factor requires information I don't have, and those who have it aren't talking.
@MHowell @mattblaze @ai6yr ACK!!! It is always super annoying when facts and reality are brought in. Of course, Fairy Dust manufacture in Russia must be running 24/7.